The A.I. Dilemma - March 9, 2023

Hey all, manually went through the whole vid to summarize good quality chapter heads to click on. This info is too important. If anyone wants to condense further from here, you're welcome! Introduction and Talk start 0:49 Introduction: Steve Wozniak Introduces Tristan Harris and Aza Raskin 1:30 Talk begins: The Rubber band effect 3:16 Preface: What does responsible rollout look like? 4:03 Oppenheimer Manhattan project analogy 4:49 Survey results on the probability of human extinction 3 Rules of Technology 5:36 1. New tech, A New Class of Responsibilities 6:42 2. If a Tech confers power, it starts race 6:47 3. If you don't coordinate, the race ends in tragedy First contact with AI: 'Curation AI' and the Engagement Monster 7:02 First contact moment with curation AI: Unintended consequences 8:22 Second contact with creation AI 8:50 The Engagement Monster: Social media and the race to the bottom Second contact with AI: 'Creation AI' 11:23 Entanglement of AI with society 12:48 Not here to talk about the AGI apocalypse 14:13 Understanding the exponential improvement of AI and Machine Learning 15:13 Impact of Language models on AI Gollem-class AIs 17:09 GLLMM: Generative Large Language Multi-Modal Model (Gollem AIs) 18:12 Multiple Examples: Models demonstrating complex understanding of the world 22:54 Security vulnerability exploits using current AI models, and identity verification concerns 27:34 Total decoding and synthesizing of reality: 2024 will be the last human election Emergent Capabilities of GLLMMs: 29:55 Sudden breakthroughs in multiple fields and theory of mind 33:03 Potential shortcoming of current alignment methods against a sufficiently advanced AI 34:50 Gollem-class AI can make themselves stronger AI can feed itself 37:53 Nukes don't make stronger nukes: AI makes stronger AI 38:40 Exponentials are difficult to understand 39:58 AI is beating tests as fast as they are made Race to deploy AI 42:01 Potential harms of 2nd contact AI 43:50 AlphaPersuade 44:51 Race to intimacy 46:03 At least we're slowly deploying Gollems to the public to test it safely? 47:07 But we would never actively put this in front of our children? 49:30 But at least there are lots of safety researchers? 50:23 At least the smartest AI safety people think there's a way to do it safely? 51:21 Pause, take a breath How do we choose the future we want? 51:43 Challenge of talking about AI 52:45 We can still choose the future we want 53:51 Success moments against existential challenges 56:18 Don't onboard humanity onto the plane without democratic dialogue 58:40 We can selectively slow down the public deployment of GLLMM AIs 59:10 Presume public deployments are unsafe 59:48 But won't we just lose to China? How do we close the gap? 1:02:28 What else can we do to close the gap between what is happening and what needs to happen? 1:03:30 Even bigger AI developments are coming. And faster. 1:03:54 Let's not make the same mistake we made with social media 1:03:54 Recap and Call to action

GPT4 was released 5 days after this presentation. AI is moving so fast that some of the things in this presentation became dated in less than one week. This is the exactly one of the main concerns these speakers are trying to get us to understand.

What scares me the most, is that a lot of people won't watch videos like these simply because of the time frame. Have tried to show it to a lot of people, but they don't think that they have the time to watch one hour educational videos on YouTube even though they do it every day on Netflix. How on earth are you to compete with short dopamine seeking content?

I wish we could have listened to the QnA. Given the calibre of attendees it would have been brilliant to guage their reactions to this presentation!

How does this not have viewership in the millions.... 45K likes!? SHARE IT PEOPLE!

Considering the gravity of this topic, I really appreciate the calm and respectful nature of this presentation. No overt fear mongering (although the material speaks for itself), just trying to bring this to people's attention and help us process it. Even admitting that it will be hard to process and preparing us for that. And as a side note, you don't often see a presentation having 2 speakers but it worked really well. They really complemented each other and made it more engaging with the back and forth riffing on shared experiences

I've enjoyed being a human with you all thus far. However, it's a wrap. Cheers and hug someone you care about today!

This is a great talk. I initially thought people were overly worried, but now I get it.

We are so grateful for you. Please continue to try to get this regulated. Integrity and honesty are what we need today. Thank you for your concern for humanity. Many of us will stand behind you and support what you are trying to accomplish.

We need this broadcasted on every major news network all over the world.

The rubber band was really intense when I first started exploring this stuff. Almost to the point that when I'd get out of the AI-world-headspace I was pleasantly surprised to see grass and trees and my house and my family and the normal world. People have said "What a time to be alive" ironically a zillion times, but hooooooly frak. "The Future" always seemed vaguely benign and ever distant, and now it is here and I still don't know how I feel about it.

I am commenting to help boost the video. Thank you for your service Tristan and Aza.

I've been following AI for 30 years and this is the most powerful and considered hour of exposition I've seen in that entire time. Huge respect and it's given me a whole raft of material to take back to my corporate board.

I have been avidly researching AI safety, and this is the best primer I have found on the subject for a general audience. Thank you so much for this wonderful presentation.

It’s so shocking to me that Cambridge analytica is not ever talked about. This should be shown at every school

I've been showing this in my middle school classes. Trying to get them to eat the spinach. Some are choking on it but they seem to understand they need to be part of the answer for the potential blessing of AI or be a part of the curse of AI. Thanks Tristian and team for letting us know the bridge is out ahead or another bridge is ahead and we have never seen a bridge like this before and where it is taking us. With our permission or without. Buckle up.

I keep trying to talk about this stuff to anyone who is interested, but it’s tough to know how to explain what’s going on. Thank God people like this are putting this out there

While this presentation was expertly and eloquently delivered, I can’t help but think about what a small number of people will actually be able to get the ball rolling with this information. For 99% of us, this is excellent content for awareness. There will be a very small number of people who not only grasp the gravity of the issue but are capable and willing to implement the necessary institutions to address the safety concerns.

Point 1 is understating the case to a considerable degree. It actually misses something really important. I would state it like this: "When you invent a new technology, you alter the old reality and eliminate the possibility of returning to it. Certain things become literally unthinkable." An ecosystem with rabbits introduced into it isn't just ecosystem+rabbits, but radically different ecosystem.

Youtube should pin this video on every users feed!